Course
|
Excel

Forward-Looking Models

SupraChem has a high-risk technology project that requires additional investment. Learn how to build a forward-looking model and use new tools such as decision trees and scenario analysis to help the company reach a decision.
3 HOURS
Advanced
18 Lessons
CPE/CPD & NASBA ACREDITED
Learning Outcomes
Create a decision tree to understand a business problem
Create model formulas that responds to model input changes
Use intermediate variables to simplify calculations
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Course
|
Excel

Forward-Looking Models

SupraChem has a high-risk technology project that requires additional investment. Learn how to build a forward-looking model and use new tools such as decision trees and scenario analysis to help the company reach a decision.
3 HOURS
Advanced
18 Lessons
CPE/CPD & NASBA ACREDITED
Learning Outcomes
Create a decision tree to understand a business problem
Create model formulas that responds to model input changes
Use intermediate variables to simplify calculations
Leave your number for the fastest response

Get More Info

Looking to understand how Kubicle can better help your organization meet its learning objectives? Book some time with one of our consultants today.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.

What’s Included

18 Lessons
Introduction to Forward-Looking Models
4 MINS
LESSON
Introduction to Forward-Looking Models
Exercise

This lesson explains the characteristics and challenges of building forward looking models, and introduces the SupraChem case.

Decision Trees
5 MINS
LESSON
Decision Trees
Exercise

Decision trees are a great tool when dealing with probabilities. In this lesson, we'll use them to calculated a formula for risk-weighted returns.

Build an Influence Diagram
2 MINS
LESSON
Build an Influence Diagram
Exercise

Using our decision tree, we'll build an influence diagram for our SupraChem problem that will help us structure our final model.

Structuring Your Model in Excel
4 MINS
LESSON
Structuring Your Model in Excel
Exercise

In this lesson, we structure our model in Excel using the influence diagram from the previous lesson.

Make Your Model Responsive
6 MINS
LESSON
Make Your Model Responsive
Exercise

Building flexibility into the model will allow us to control everything from the input panel, even time-series data.

Shorten Formulas with New Variables
5 MINS
LESSON
Shorten Formulas with New Variables
Exercise

Don't be afraid to create new variables to keep your formulas short and more readable. They are particularly useful when you have multiple inputs in a formula that can easily combined.

Risk-Weighted Cash Flows
6 MINS
LESSON
Risk-Weighted Cash Flows
Exercise

With revenue and production costs created, we can now calculate our project cashflows and the estimated return on initial investment.

Preparing a Tornado Chart
4 MINS
LESSON
Preparing a Tornado Chart
Exercise

Tornado charts are a great way of finding out which which parameters most affect our output. However, they are difficult to build and require substantial data analysis.

Building a Tornado Chart
4 MINS
LESSON
Building a Tornado Chart
Exercise

In this lesson, we'll finish building our chart and identify some valuable insights that the chart provides.

Update Warnings for Charts
6 MINS
LESSON
Update Warnings for Charts
Exercise

Some charts, such as the Tornado, won't update when we change a control panel input. As a safety mechanism, we'll build in warnings that tell us when our chart data has not updated.

Adding Taxes to Our Model
5 MINS
LESSON
Adding Taxes to Our Model
Exercise

Our second model iteration will calculate the tax shield provided by plant depreciation and subtract the final taxes paid from operating cashflows.

Building Multiple Scenarios
4 MINS
LESSON
Building Multiple Scenarios
Exercise

Multiple scenarios should always be considered when evaluating high-risk projects. In the next two lessons, we'll add optimistic and pessimistic scenarios to our output panel.

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Certifications
Earn a certificate with every exam you complete. All successful course completions are recognized by CPD, CPE, and NASBA. As your team gains confidence, skill, and speed, your firm becomes more competitive.
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Get More Info
Looking to understand how Kubicle can better help your organization meet its learning objectives?  Book some time with one of our consultants today.
Contact Information
Looking to speak to someone directly?
01 700 9000
info@kubicle.com
Dublin, Ireland
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